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Influence of Potential Sea Level Rise on Societal Vulnerability to Hurricane Storm-Surge Hazards in Sarasota County, Florida

December 2010

Although the potential for hurricanes under current climatic conditions continue to threaten coastal communities, there is concern that climate change, specifically potential increases in sea level, could influence the impacts of future hurricanes. To examine the potential effect of sea level rise on community vulnerability to future hurricanes, (the authors) assess variations in socio-economic exposure in Sarasota County, FL, to contemporary hurricane storm-surge hazards and to storm-surge hazards enhanced by sea level rise scenarios. Analysis indicates that significant portions of the population, economic activity, and critical facilities are in contemporary and future hurricane storm-surge hazard zones.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Tim G. Frazier, Nathan Wood, Brent Yarnal, Denise H. Bauer

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Climate Change and Sea-Level Rise in Florida: An Update of the Effects of Climate Change on Florida's Ocean and Coastal Resources

December 2010

In 2009, the Florida Oceans and Coastal Council (FOCC) published a report entitled 'The Effects of Climate Change on Florida’s Ocean and Coastal Resources. '  That report focused on what was known, and was possible concerning climate-change effects on the state’s ocean and coastal resources. This report updates and expands a section addressing sea level rise in the 2009 report. This update involved contributions by 5 Council members, 12 contributing authors, and 11 external reviewers whose technical contributions were based principally on literature published by August 2010.

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Guam Coastal Management Program - Section 309 Assessments and Strategy 2011 - 2015

September 2010

The Guam Coastal Management Program (GCMP) completed assessment and strategy documents in 1991, 1997, 2001, and 2006. This 2010 update provides an opportunity to review the program's accomplishments as well as its strategy for handling new challenges and changing scenarios facing Guam. This update also reflects changes that are based on the single biggest event to happen on Guam since World War II: a massive Department of Defense buildup.

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Virginia Special Places in Peril: Jamestown, Chincoteague, and Shenandoah Threatened by Climate Disruption

September 2010

This report examines, in detail, the threats that climate change presents to Jamestown, Chincoteague National Wildlife Refuge, and Shenandoah National Park. For each of these impacts, the report identifies the potential economic losses that could result from the loss of ecosystems and tourism. The authors provide downscaled information about climate threats, including projected temperature increases for each of the three sites. Additionally, the report characterizes the threat sea-level rise and erosion pose to Jamestown and Chincoteague.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Stephen Saunders, Tom Easley, Theo Spencer

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Climate Ready Estuaries: A Blueprint for Change

September 2010

This report summarizes key findings and recommendations for climate change adaptation in the region surrounding North Carolina's Albemarle-Pamlico National Estuary Program (APNEP), which is part of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) Climate Ready Estuaries Program. Recommendations to improve the area’s resilience and adaptation capacity, including specific recommendations to the APNEP policy board are included.

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Application of Ecological and Economic Models of the Impacts of Sea-Level Rise to the Delaware Estuary

June 2010

This report, produced for the Partnership for the Delaware Estuary, describes a new method of climate adaptation planning that draws from the assessment of natural resource damages associated with oil spills and other episodic events. The proposed framework combines the wetland change modeling in SLAMM (Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model) with traditional damage assessment methods using habitat equivalency analysis (HEA). By combining a marsh migration model with a habitat equivalency model, the framework was developed for identifying and valuing the cost of efforts to address potential changes in wetlands habitats.

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Climate Change and the Delaware Estuary: Three Case Studies in Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Planning

June 2010

This report summarizes the major changes expected in the Delaware Estuary due to climate change as well as the threats to three key resources: tidal wetlands, drinking water and bivalve shellfish. These three resources served as case studies representative of the Estuary's habitats, human/water interaction, and living resources respectively, allowing investigation of climate change impacts and  potential adaptation strategies in the Estuary.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Danielle Kreeger, Jennifer Adkins, Priscilla Cole, Ray Najjar, David Velinsky, Paula Conolly, John Kraeuter

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Coastal Vulnerability Assessment of the Northern Gulf of Mexico to Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Change

July 2010

This report, prepared by the U. S. Geologic Survey, uses an index to assess the vulnerability of the Gulf Coast - from Galveston, Texas to Panama City, Florida.   The Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) applied is based on six factors that influence the risk sea-level rise poses:  geomorphology, historical shoreline change rate, regional coastal slope, relative sea-level change, mean significant wave height, and mean tidal range.   CVI data can be used in at least two ways: (1) as a way of identifying areas where physical changes are most likely to occur as sea-level rises, and (2) as a planning tool for managing and protecting resources along the Northern Gulf of Mexico.

Authors or Affiliated Users: E.A. Pendleton, J.A. Barras, S.J. Williams, D.C. Twichell

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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North Carolina Sea-Level Rise Assessment Report

March 2010

In March 2010, the North Carolina Coastal Resources Commission's (CRC's) Science Panel on Coastal Hazards released this report estimating the extent of land on the North Carolina coast that will be covered by sea-level rise over this century. After explaining how sea-level rise can be assessed and measured, the report provides estimates for sea-level rise through the years 2025, 2050, 2075 and 2100. It concludes with recommendations to make improvements in sea-level monitoring as a first step to adaptation planning.

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Preliminary Study of the Effect of Sea Level Rise on the Resources of the Hayward Shore - California

March 2010

The Hayward Area Shoreline Planning Agency (HASPA) had a preliminary study conducted on the impact of sea-level rise on the resources of the Hayward shoreline, and the actions that could be taken to protect both the wetlands and shoreline development in this area of the San Francisco Bay, California.   Planning of the South Bay Salt Pond Restoration Project by the U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service addressed the projected change in sea-level within the HASPA planning area to the south of Highway 92.

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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