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North Carolina's Coasts in Crisis: A Vision for the Future

October 2008

This report, prepared by two groups at East Carolina University, describes the risks that sea level rise poses for the North Carolina Coast.

Authors or Affiliated Users: S.R. Riggs, S.J. Culver, D.V. Ames, D.J. Mallison, P.R. Corbett, J.P. Walsh

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Potential Climate Change Impacts on Marine Resources of the Northeastern United States

2007

This report synthesizes an assessment of potential changes in marine ecosystems off the northeastern United States in response to projected climate and emission scenarios, with a focus on temperature effects on living marine resources. It reviews likely impacts on the northeast continental shelf, and highlights potential effects on the distribution and abundance of the American lobster and Atlantic cod to illustrate the range of possible impacts throughout the region.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Michael Fogarty, Lewis Incze, Richard Wahle, David Mountain, Allan Robinson, Andrew Pershing, Katherine Hayhoe, Anne Richards, James Manning

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Potential for Shoreline Changes Due to Sea-Level Rise Along the U.S. Mid-Atlantic Region

2007

In 2007, thirteen scientists convened for a two-day meeting to exchange  information and develop a consensus opinion on potential future coastal changes for the mid-Atlantic coast in response to sea-level rise. This 2007 report is the result of this workshop, providing an overview of how sea level rise could impact mid-Atlantic coast landforms, from New York to Virginia. Four different scenarios for sea level rise were considered and applied to specific areas of the Atlantic coast: a) the long-term sea-level rise rate observed over the 20th century would persist over the 21st century; b) the 20th century rate would increase by 2 mm/yr; c) the 20th century rate would increase by 7 mm/yr; and d) sea-level would rise by 2 m over the next few hundred years.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Benjamin T. Gutierrez, S. Jeffries Williams, E. Robert Thieler

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Observations: Oceanic Climate Change and Sea Level (Chapter 5 of IPCC Working Group I Report: The Physical Science Basis)

2007

This chapter of the Working Group I contribution to the IPCC 4th Assessment Report provides detailed scientific analysis of observed changes in global ocean temperature and salinity, sea level, thermal expansion, water mass evolution and biogeochemical parameters.

Authors or Affiliated Users: S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Vulnerability of New Jersey's Coastal Habitats to Sea Level Rise

January 2007

This report is the product of a study determining which developed areas in coastal New Jersey are vulnerable to sea-level rise in ways that could negatively impact sandy beach and wetland habitats. It is intended to be used in a way that can provide information for coastal management and development decisions.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Aaron Love, Richard G. Lathrop

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Future Sea Level Rise and the New Jersey Coast

June 2005

This study presents an assessment of potential impacts of sea level rise on the New Jersey coast.   Using historical flood data, digital elevation models, and climate change projections, the authors found that sea level rise will submerge 1-3% of coastal lands, and 6. 5-9% of coastal land will be affected by periodic flooding.   The study looks at Cape May Point as a case study for potential impacts on socioeconomic and natural resources that would be relevant to other coastal areas.   Finally, the authors broadly identify a gradual retreat strategy for adaptation.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Matthew J.P. Cooper, Michael D. Beevers, Michael Oppenheimer

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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Striking a Balance - A Guide to Coastal Dynamics and Beach Management in Delaware

2004

This report provides historical background and knowledge of coastal dynamics and beach management in Delaware, outlines the forces affecting Delaware's beaches - including the balance between development and protection of coastal resources, and explains statewide coastal management policies and the measures taken to mitigate the effects of erosion.

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Sea Level Rise in the Treasure Coast Region (Florida)

December 5, 2005

This report was prepared by the Treasure Coast Regional Planning Council in southeast Florida to support the EPA's national effort encouraging local government long-term planning for and awareness of sea-level rise. Mapping tools were used to distinguish areas of the Treasure Coast region likely to be protected from erosion, inundation, and flooding, from those areas where natural shoreline retreat is likely to take place. Results presented in this report are intended to stimulate local government planners and citizens in the region to think about the problems associated with sea-level rise, diminish loss of life and property from coastal hazards, and to ensure the long-term survival of coastal wetlands.

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South Florida Sea Level Rise Project Final Report

September 2005

This report presents the results of a study conducted by the South Florida Regional Planning Council (SFRPC) to distinguish areas that are likely to experience erosion, inundation and flooding due to sea level rise in the region. The Study Area included the three counties in the SFRPC’s region: Miami-Dade, Broward and Monroe County, Florida.

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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National Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Sea-Level Rise: Preliminary Results for the U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast

2000

In this report, the relative vulnerability (the Coastal Vulnerability Index, or CVI) of different coastal environments to sea-level rise is quantified for the U. S. Gulf of Mexico Coast region. This initial classification is based upon variables such as coastal geomorphology, regional coastal slope, rate of sea-level rise, wave and tide characteristics, and historical shoreline change rates. The combination of these variables and the association of these variables to each other furnishes a broad overview of sub-regions where physical changes are likely to occur due to sea-level rise.

Authors or Affiliated Users: E. Robert Thieler, Erika S. Hammar-Klose

Resource Category: Assessments

 

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