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Coastal Flooding in the Northeast United States Due to Climate Change
December 2007
This report assesses the affects of sea level rise (SLR) on storm surge and flooding in the northeastern United States. In this study, historical sea level information for storm surge anomalies at five sites in the region (from Massachusetts to New Jersey) was compiled and the impacts of climate change and local sea level effects were then added to this analysis. The change in recurrence intervals of storm surges due to possible SLR scenarios is estimated. Also, the study compares the boundaries of a 100-year coastal storm flooding event in Boston developed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) with the flooding boundaries of these estimated storm surges for 2005 and 2100 to further prepare for the potential social and economic impacts of climate change on coastal areas.
Authors or Affiliated Users: Chris Watson, Paul Kirshen, Ellen Douglas, Allen Gontz, Jawon Lee, Yong Tian
Resource Category: Assessments
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A Discussion of the Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Shorelines of the Northeastern USA
July 10, 2007
This report, prepared for the 2007 Northeast Climate Impact Assessment (see separate entry), provides a broad overview of how sea-level rise will impact the coast of the northeastern United States. Different possible rates of sea-level rise and the primary impact of shoreline retreat is discussed. The report explains how local features determine the extent of shoreline retreat in a given area and addresses how sea-level rise could affect different ecosystems, including estuaries, salt marshes, and barrier island systems.
Authors or Affiliated Users: Andrew D. Ashton, Jeffrey P. Donnelly, Rob L. Evans
Resource Category: Assessments
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Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Northeast: Science, Impacts, and Solutions
July 2007
This report describes the changing climate for the U. S. Northeast region and associated climate change impacts. Both high and low emission scenarios were analyzed to assess the impacts of two very different future climates on the region's coastal areas, marine fisheries, forests, agriculture, winter recreation, and human health sectors. Mitigation and adaptation policy options relevant to Northeast are presented, and the report includes a discussion on how to prioritize adaptation strategies.
Authors or Affiliated Users: Peter C. Frumhoff, James J. McCarthy, Jerry M. Melillo, Susanne C. Moser, Donald J. Wuebbles
Resource Category: Assessments
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Potential Climate Change Impacts on Marine Resources of the Northeastern United States
2007
This report synthesizes an assessment of potential changes in marine ecosystems off the northeastern United States in response to projected climate and emission scenarios, with a focus on temperature effects on living marine resources. It reviews likely impacts on the northeast continental shelf, and highlights potential effects on the distribution and abundance of the American lobster and Atlantic cod to illustrate the range of possible impacts throughout the region.
Authors or Affiliated Users: Michael Fogarty, Lewis Incze, Richard Wahle, David Mountain, Allan Robinson, Andrew Pershing, Katherine Hayhoe, Anne Richards, James Manning
Resource Category: Assessments
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Potential for Shoreline Changes Due to Sea-Level Rise Along the U.S. Mid-Atlantic Region
2007
In 2007, thirteen scientists convened for a two-day meeting to exchange information and develop a consensus opinion on potential future coastal changes for the mid-Atlantic coast in response to sea-level rise. This 2007 report is the result of this workshop, providing an overview of how sea level rise could impact mid-Atlantic coast landforms, from New York to Virginia. Four different scenarios for sea level rise were considered and applied to specific areas of the Atlantic coast: a) the long-term sea-level rise rate observed over the 20th century would persist over the 21st century; b) the 20th century rate would increase by 2 mm/yr; c) the 20th century rate would increase by 7 mm/yr; and d) sea-level would rise by 2 m over the next few hundred years.
Authors or Affiliated Users: Benjamin T. Gutierrez, S. Jeffries Williams, E. Robert Thieler
Resource Category: Assessments
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The Garden State in the Greenhouse - Climate Change Mitigation and Coastal Adaptation Strategies for New Jersey
January 2007
This report was prepared for the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) by the Urban & Regional Planning (URP) and Science, Technology & Environmental Policy (STEP) Graduate Student Workshop at Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs.
Resource Category: Planning
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Vulnerability of New Jersey's Coastal Habitats to Sea Level Rise
January 2007
This report is the product of a study determining which developed areas in coastal New Jersey are vulnerable to sea-level rise in ways that could negatively impact sandy beach and wetland habitats. It is intended to be used in a way that can provide information for coastal management and development decisions.
Authors or Affiliated Users: Aaron Love, Richard G. Lathrop
Resource Category: Assessments
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Future Sea Level Rise and the New Jersey Coast
June 2005
This study presents an assessment of potential impacts of sea level rise on the New Jersey coast. Using historical flood data, digital elevation models, and climate change projections, the authors found that sea level rise will submerge 1-3% of coastal lands, and 6. 5-9% of coastal land will be affected by periodic flooding. The study looks at Cape May Point as a case study for potential impacts on socioeconomic and natural resources that would be relevant to other coastal areas. Finally, the authors broadly identify a gradual retreat strategy for adaptation.
Authors or Affiliated Users: Matthew J.P. Cooper, Michael D. Beevers, Michael Oppenheimer
Resource Category: Assessments
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Metropolitan East Coast Regional Assessment: Risk Increase to Infrastructure Due to Sea Level Rise
2000
A sub-set of the "2000 Metropolitan East Coast Assessment" from Columbia University, this report provides an assessment of the risks to transportation infrastructure from sea-level rise in the tri-state area surrounding New York City (encompassing parts of New York, New Jersey and Connecticut).
Authors or Affiliated Users: Klaus H. Jacob, Noah Edelblum, Jonathan Arnold
Resource Category: Assessments
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National Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Sea-Level Rise: Preliminary Results for the Atlantic Coast
1999
One of three national assessments of U. S. coastal regions conducted in the late 1990's, this assessment focused on the Atlantic coastline, while the other two focused on the Gulf Coast and Pacific coastlines. The overall goal of these studies was to identify those portions of the U. S. coastal regions at risk and the nature of that risk (e. g. , inundation, erosion, etc. ). The long-term goal of this study is to predict future coastal changes with a degree of certainty useful for coastal management, following an approach similar to that used to map national seismic and volcanic hazards.
Authors or Affiliated Users: E. Robert Thieler, Erika S. Hammar-Klose
Resource Category: Assessments
