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Maine's Climate Future: An Initial Assessment

April 2009

In late 2007, then Governor Baldacci asked the University of Maine and its Climate Change Institute to lead a preliminary analysis of the effects of climate change in Maine during the 21st century. This report from the analysis considers past climate change, recent evidence of accelerated rates of change, and the implications of continued climate change in Maine as a result of greenhouse gas emissions and their associated pollutants. The assessment highlights some of the critical climate impacts on various ecosystems and economic sectors in Maine, with the intention to help frame the policy and management discussions on adaptation that are needed, while emphasizing new opportunities that exist for the state.

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Preparing for Climate Change in the Upper Willamette River Basin of Western Oregon: Co-Beneficial Planning for Communities and Ecosystems

March 2009

In the fall of 2008, the Climate Leadership Initiative (CLI) and the National Center for Conservation Science & Policy (NCCSP) (now the GEOS Institute), in partnership with the Mapped Atmosphere-Plant-Soil-System (MAPSS) Team at the U.S. Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, initiated a project to assess the likely consequences of climate change for the Upper Willamette River Basin.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Bob Doppelt, Roger Hamilton, Cindy Deacon Williams, Marni Koopman, Stacy Vynne

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The Potential Impacts of Global Sea Level Rise on Transportation Infrastructure

October 2008

Prepared by the U. S. Department of Transportation, this report provides a high-level estimate of the net effect of sea level-rise and storm surges to transportation infrastructure on the U. S. eastern seaboard by 2100. The study integrates estimates of eustatic sea-level rise based on IPCC scenarios and digital elevation maps to identify areas that will either be inundated or placed at risk during storms. These estimates do not account for local variations. Based on 9 modeling outputs, from 6cm to 59cm, the study identifies the roads, airports, ports, and rail lines at risk from New York down to Florida, and it provides quantitative data on the extent to which each state in the study area will be affected by sea-level rise.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Kevin M. Wright, Christopher Hogan

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New York City’s MTA Adaptations to Climate Change – A Categorical Imperative

October 2008

New York City’s Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) commissioned this report, “MTA Adaptations to Climate Change: A Categorical Imperative,” to provide a risk-based framework for adapting MTA facilities to climate change impacts.   The assessment covers the entire MTA region, which includes New York City, 12 counties in southeastern New York, and two counties in southwestern Connecticut. Specifically, the report identifies steps for completing a vulnerability assessment; develops climate change scenarios for the region; conducts an initial survey of key vulnerabilities of MTA assets and operations by agency and type of hazard; and offers recommendations for ways that the MTA can assess critical infrastructure, plan for, and implement climate change adaptation projects.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Klaus Jacob, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Radley Horton, David Major, Vivien Gornitz

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Climate Change and Chicago: Projections and Potential Impacts

September 2008

This report outlines the accelerating changes in climate that may occur over the coming century, and assesses the projected climate impacts on Chicago's public health system, water resources, natural ecosystems, infrastructure and more. The results of this analysis demonstrate the significance of emissions choices, and how these choices will determine the magnitude of the climate change impacts on Chicago.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Katharine Hayhoe, Donald Wuebbles

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Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Tennessee

September 2008

From the Center for Integrative Environmental Research (CIER) at the University of Maryland, this report investigates the economic impacts of climate change in Tennessee. The key economic sectors most likely to be affected by climate change are addressed, along with the main impacts to be expected for these sectors. The assessment provides examples of the direct economic impacts and of the additional related, or ripple, economic effects on the state. The report also identifies specific data gaps and research needs for further understanding of the continual economic impacts.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Daria Karetinkov, Janine Fisler, Sean Williamson, Brendan Bell, Matthias Ruth, Kim Ross, Daraius Irani

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Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate

2009

This is the full assessment report detailing the findings of the Climate Impacts Group's climate change impact assessment of Washington. The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment (WACCIA) involved developing updated climate change scenarios for the state and using these scenarios to assess the impacts of climate change on the following sectors: agriculture, coasts, energy, forests, human health, hydrology and water resources, salmon, and urban stormwater infrastructure. A chapter is dedicated to regional climate modeling.

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Synthesis and Assessment Product (SAP) 4.2: Thresholds of Climate Change in Ecosystems

January 2009

This report is one in a series of 21 Synthesis and Assessment Products (SAPs) produced between 2004 and 2009 by the U. S. Climate Change Science Program, aimed at providing current assessments of climate change science in the U. S. to inform public debate, policy, and operational decisions. This SAP reviews threshold changes in North American ecosystems that are potentially induced by climate change and addresses the significant challenges these threshold crossings impose on resource and land managers.

Authors or Affiliated Users: Daniel B. Fagre, Collen W. Charles, Craig D. Allen, Charles Birkeland, Stuart F. Chapin III, Peter M. Groffman, David A. McGuire, Patrick J. Mulholland, Debra P.C. Peters, Daniel D. Roby

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Air Quality Planning and California's Changing Climate

November 2008

California is home to some of the worst air quality in the country, and climate change will likely make it more difficult to meet health-based air quality standards. This report recommends that air quality planning agencies take steps to understand how climate change could affect air quality improvement efforts, and attainment of the federal 8-hour ozone standard.

Author or Affiliated User: Louise Bedsworth

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California Climate Risk and Response

November 2008

This report provides a comprehensive examination of the economic impacts of climate change and adaptation in California. This multi-sector study from researchers at the University of California, Berkeley compiles the most recent available science on climate change impacts in the state, assesses the economic implications, and examines strategies for adaptation. 

Authors or Affiliated Users: Michael McCormick, Fredrich Kahrl, David Roland-Holst

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