Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability

This report focuses on ways to improve the quality of intraseasonal and interannual climate forecasts. It examines current capabilities for forecasting predictions for the climate system, analyzes how past improvements in these capabilities have been achieved, and recommends opportunities for future improvement. The report informs and guides decisions regarding future opportunities in climate research and operational forecasting.

The report provides recommendations for strategies and best practices to improve predictability estimates. Recommendations include the continued development of tools used in forecasting and sets specific research goals for improving understanding of sources of predictability and best practices to improve methods of making and disseminating forecasts accessible to decision-makers and researchers.

Improved forecasts give more accurate information to decision makers, allowing for more accuracy in climate adaptation policies and actions.


This assessment was conducted by the National Research Council in response to a request from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration.

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Publication Date: 2010

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  • Best practice
  • Tool (general)

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